Projections INCLUDING Conference Tournaments

There have been many requests to incorporate the conference tournaments into the simulations. I have started doing that on a weekly basis on a separate page:

http://www.rpiforecast.com/ct/index.html

I will update this on Mondays to start. We'll see how that goes.

Here's the procedure:
1. Run the simulations as usual.
2. At the end of each simulated regular season, sort teams in each conference (or division) based on its record.
3. From the conference records in #2, seed the teams for the conference tournaments
4. If two or more teams are tied, the seeds are randomly picked between the tied teams (Learning and incorporating all of the complex tiebreakers for every conference is just too time consuming)
5. For all 30 conferences that hold tournaments, run a simulated tournament based on the specific structure and home court advantages of each tournament.
6. Calculate RPIs, SOS, and the other usual stats for the entire season including the tournaments.
7. Run the simulations 10,000 times

Anyway, eventually I'll add individual team pages (maybe next week) that include the conf tournament forecasts. Items included will be things like probability of winning tournament, expected number of wins in the tournament, etc.