Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Tourney Projections: A few new features

I added the following features with regards to NCAA tournament bracket projections:

1. ON the main bracket page (www.rpiforecast.com/bracket.html), I added more stats: Current and Expected RPI, Expected OOC RPI, Current and Expected Records, and Current and Expected Conference Records

2. The daily projected tournament seed can now be found on the individual team pages (for example, see Duke: www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Duke.html)

3. I've added a graph on the individual team pages below the other two graphs which tracks the history of projected seeds for each team. You will be hard pressed to find others willing to archive the history of their projections.

Next on the to-do list is BracketBusters and Conference Tournaments.

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

New Updated Bracket predictions (Daily!)

Based on the new updated "Dance Card" formulas from Jay Coleman, I have started making daily predictions of the field of 68 along with the seeds. A great thing about the methodology is that the factors that determine the at-large bids and the seeds are similar but there are subtle differences. The new model only missed one team from the field and did as well as pretty much anybody at picking the actual seeds. I will be keeping track of my predictions as well as those of the other major bracketologists through the course of the season. After the season is over, I'll present results. If the past is any indicator, my predictions should do especially well early in the season compared to the "human predictions".

Find the predictions here:

http://www.rpiforecast.com/bracket.html

Live-RPI.com - Minute by Minute RPI Updates - Free!

You may have noticed a brand new feature this season: live-rpi.com . This new website is for those who don't want to wait until the next morning (or even 5 minutes) to see what the current RPI is. As games finish, the RPI is automatically updated and the page should refresh. If it doesn't, simply click on the Live-RPI.com banner and it should refresh. From about 6 am EST to around 1pm, there are no updates unless games are being played. There is also a section on conference RPI which is updated at the same time.

As always, this is free!